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2021年6月26日土曜日

AI 株価予測 20210625の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20210625 Status 8306MUFG

  

AI 株価予測 20210625の状況8306MUFG 

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20210625 Status 8306MUFG

週明けは予測通り600円を割る下落となったが、その後、FRBのインフレ見通しと金利設定についての攻防があり、金利は持ち直し傾向となった。MUFG went down below 600 as per AI forecast last week however, it came back as interest rate came back as a result of market interaction regarding the FRB's interest rate view and rate setting level.

市場全体は利上げを見越して調整ムード。今後は、GDPの25%を上回る米国の政府支出の影響が方向性を決定するだろう。Market as a whole is slow foreseeing the interest rate hike going forward. From now, the government expenditure, that went over 25% of US GDP, will decide the direction.

即ち、マクロでみて、政府支出がコロナによる実際のGDPの減額より大きければインフレ圧力となる。実際のところは、コロナの損失を少し上回る程度だとは思うので、インフレ圧力はさほどでもないと考えるが、検証が必要だ。In nutshell, it will result in inflation pressure if government spending is over the loss of GDP due to Covid-19.
Although further verification is necessary, I believe myself that government spending is just a bit more than the actual damage by Covid-19.

来週の動きだが、新値ベースでは下降を予測している一方、MACDは上昇の気配を見せている。大きな動きはないと予想している。Regarding the forecast of next week, AI is predicting further drop on 3LB basis however, MACD is suggesting upward trend.  I expect only small move next week. 

[今回予測20210625]Forecast update for this time

NoChange変化なし

[前回予測20210618Previous forecast