AI 株価予測 20220722の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220722 Status 8306MUFG

  AI 株価予測 20220722の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220722 Status 8306MUFG

下落継続かと思われたが下降レンジ下値抵抗線で反発。週末には下降レンジ上値抵抗線で止まった。Initially I thought down trend will continue but bounced back at lower resistance of downward range trend. Rebound stopped at upper resistance of downward range trend.

AI予測は変わらず。日足、週足ともに600円台への突入を予測。No change on AI forecast. AI forecast indicates diving into 600 level for daily as well as for weekly. 

米銀株も反発継続中。一方、米10年債利回りは2.7%と下落中。US bank stocks continued rebound. Meanwhile, US 10 year treasury rate went down to 2.7% level. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は4/4。長期保有は1/4。Trade details are here. 4/4 limit holding at the point of weekend with 1/4 for long term holding position. 

下降トレンドを明確に離脱すれば追加購入を考える。If exit from downward range trend is explicitly observed, I will think of making additional purchase. 

三菱商事は底値形成中。Mitsubishi trading looks creating bottom. 

長谷工は上昇トレンド継続中。Haseko looks it is now in uptrend. 

中国不動産バブル崩壊。決算発表。円安。エネルギー危機。HIMARSによるロシア軍壊滅と核危機。今週も荒れる相場となりそうだ。Chinese real estate bubble collapse. Qtrly, Semi Annual result publishing. JPY depreciation. Energy crisis. Collapse of Russian invaders by HIMARS followed by nuclear war crisis. Next week will be another rough one. 

米銀株、USTU10とSPX  US Banks, UST10＆SPX

米金利の今後　US FF rate forecast

[今回予測20220722］Forecast at this time 

変化なし　No Change

[前回予測20220715］Previous Forecast 

3LB Month/Week/Day

Midterm Range

AI 株価予測 20220715の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220715 Status 8306MUFG

 AI 株価予測 20220715の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220715 Status 8306MUFG

ETF換金売りからの反発も短命で下降トレンドの上値抵抗線で跳ね返され、再度下落し700円を一時下回る。新値は日足、週足ともに下方へ更新。Rebound from ETF cash generation drop at mid-resistance of downtrend was short-live. It hit ceiling at upper resistance of downtrend, then sold down once more as far as below 700 one time. 3LB for daily and weekly were revised downward. 

オレンジ色の長期上昇トレンドで下げ止まったようにも見え、水色の下降トレンドで反発することもあるだろう。Orange collared line, that indicates long term uptrend, may support the price hence it may rebound at blue line as well. 

安全を見ると、水色の下降トレンドからの脱却、もしくは最下層の抵抗線タッチを待つのが良い。However, if you want to be careful, better to wait for the exit from downtrend, or touch at the bottom resistance of resistance lines. 

三菱商事は底値形成中。Mitsubishi trading looks creating bottom. 

長谷工は上昇トレンド継続中。Haseko looks it is now in uptrend. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は4/4。長期保有は1/4。Trade details are here. 4/4 limit holding at the point of weekend with 1/4 for long term holding position. 

AI予測は日足、週足ともに600円台への突入を予測。AI forecast indicates diving into 600 level for daily as well as for weekly. 

米銀は指標と供に久しぶりに大幅反発も３連休明けは反落だろう。 Big rebound of US bank stocks may go bearish for the beginning this week. 

今週は、22日金曜日がロシアのドイツ向けガス供給再開予定日で緊張が走る。日銀は金利引き上げ圧力が強まってきた。ウクライナはHIMARSによりロシアを追い払うことが出来そうだ。This week, tension may come back on 22nd Friday since it is the day when Russia is scheduled to resume gas supply to Germany. BOJ is pressured to increase interest rate. Ukraine may be able to expel Russian invader thanks to the HIMARS.

米銀株、USTU10とSPX  US Banks, UST10＆SPX

米金利の今後　US FF rate forecast

[今回予測20220715］Forecast at this time 

[前回予測20220708］Previous Forecast 

3LB Month/Week/Day

Midterm Range

AI 株価予測 20220708の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220708 Status 8306MUFG

 AI 株価予測 20220708の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220708 Status 8306MUFG

基本様子見。ETF配当捻出換金売りとみられる下落。週中に反発するも、下降トレンド内でのスピード調整の範囲。青線のトレンドからの脱却が必要。Basically just watched the next trend to come. There was further drop presumably due to the sell to generate cash for ETF dividend payments. Rebound in the middle of the week but resulted in the correction of too-steep drop. Need to get out of blue lines above first. 

三菱商事は更なる下落。新値の形状は反発を示唆。Mitsubishi-trading showed further drop. Line break shape indicates rebound to come up.

長谷工は長期上昇トレンドで推移。Haseko is following long term uptrend. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は4/4。長期保有は1/4。Trade details are here. 4/4 limit holding at the point of weekend with 1/4 for long term holding position. 

AI予測には変化在り。日足では微小反発、週足では600円台突入と出た。AI forecasts have changed. Small rebound for daily and drop below 700 for weekly. 

参議院選挙の結果は、自民党の圧勝となり、株式は上昇する。ただ、選挙結果が現状を大きく変える要素は無く、一時的な上昇に終わる。ウクライナはHIMARS配備で形勢が一部変わりかけている。西側の兵器支援は、戦争の長期化を招く遅々とした逐次投入だ。戦争が長期化するにつれ世界経済は疲弊する。一気に兵器支援を行い、早期解決を図るべきだ。The result of election of house of councillors will result in LDP winning and stock will rise. However, the result of election will not change current status much, hence such rise will be short live. Ukraine situation is changing a partly due to the deployment of HIMARS. West weapon support is inviting elongation of war due to slow gradual provision of weapons. As war elongates, world economy will go worse. All at once supply of weapons should be done to end the war sooner. 

米銀株、USTU10とSPX  US Banks, UST10＆SPX

米金利の今後　US FF rate forecast

[今回予測20220708］Forecast at this time 

[前回予測20220617］Previous Forecast 

3LB Month/Week/Day

Midterm Range

AI 株価予測 20220701の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220701 Status 8306MUFG

 AI 株価予測 20220701の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220701 Status 8306MUFG

機関投資家と推測される大口は、2020年からの、対数軸の中期上昇トレンドをキープするため心血を注いだ（上図黄色〇）ようだ。しかし、NYの暴落には勝てず、遂に抵抗線を割った。中期トレンド終了と判定し、長期保有の内、3/4を売却。Big institutional investors have done a lot to keep lognormal based midterm upward trend since 2020 ( shown in yellow circles above) however,  it could not resist against the NY market collapse, then finally broke the lower resistance. Judging that as end of mid term upward trend, I sold 3/4 of long term holding position. 

なお、前週下値抵抗線にタッチしたため1/4を追加購入した三菱商事は、ロシアのサハリン利権剥奪によりさらに下落。ただ、新値５本でもあり、そのまま放置。Besides, Mitsubishi Trading, that I bought for 1/4 since it touched the lower resistance. went further down due to the deprivation of Sakhalin's right of oil fields by Putin. However I will keep it since it broke 5th line already. 

現状、長期保有の投資余力3/4で次のトレンド発生を待つ。相場が大きく崩れても高配当利回りで年間収益は確保。また、このレベルであれば、最長２年あれば回復する。Current strategy is to wait for another trend with 3/4 cash position. Even if market collapses, high dividend yield will keep annual revenue. Also, in this level of crash, market will come back in 2 yrs maximum. 

NY株は週末若干戻したが、ショートカバーの可能性も高い。NY bounced back a bit last weekend but highly likely due to short cover. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は4/4。長期保有は1/4。Trade details are here. 4/4 limit holding at the point of weekend with 1/4 for long term holding position. 

AI予測は不変で続落。AI forecast is unchanged, downtrend. 

ウクライナ危機、新冷戦と資源インフレ、コロナインフレ退治の利上げ、中国不動産崩壊など問題はまだ山積み。一方、円安放置日本の国際企業収益は激増予想。Still tons of problems are piling up such as Ukraine crisis, new cold war and natural resource inflation, interest rate hike to kill Covid-19 oriented inflation as well as Chinese real estate market crash. Meanwhile, huge profits are expected for Japanese global corporate due to intentional depreciation of JPY. 

米銀株、USTU10とSPX  US Banks, UST10＆SPX

米金利の今後　US FF rate forecast

[今回予測20220617］Forecast at this time 

変わらず No Change

[前回予測20220610］Previous Forecast 

3LB Month/Week/Day

Midterm Range