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2022年7月3日日曜日

AI 株価予測 20220701の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220701 Status 8306MUFG

 AI 株価予測 20220701の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20220701 Status 8306MUFG

機関投資家と推測される大口は、2020年からの、対数軸の中期上昇トレンドをキープするため心血を注いだ(上図黄色〇)ようだ。しかし、NYの暴落には勝てず、遂に抵抗線を割った。中期トレンド終了と判定し、長期保有の内、3/4を売却。Big institutional investors have done a lot to keep lognormal based midterm upward trend since 2020 ( shown in yellow circles above) however,  it could not resist against the NY market collapse, then finally broke the lower resistance. Judging that as end of mid term upward trend, I sold 3/4 of long term holding position. 

なお、前週下値抵抗線にタッチしたため1/4を追加購入した三菱商事は、ロシアのサハリン利権剥奪によりさらに下落。ただ、新値5本でもあり、そのまま放置。Besides, Mitsubishi Trading, that I bought for 1/4 since it touched the lower resistance. went further down due to the deprivation of Sakhalin's right of oil fields by Putin. However I will keep it since it broke 5th line already. 

現状、長期保有の投資余力3/4で次のトレンド発生を待つ。相場が大きく崩れても高配当利回りで年間収益は確保。また、このレベルであれば、最長2年あれば回復する。Current strategy is to wait for another trend with 3/4 cash position. Even if market collapses, high dividend yield will keep annual revenue. Also, in this level of crash, market will come back in 2 yrs maximum. 

NY株は週末若干戻したが、ショートカバーの可能性も高い。NY bounced back a bit last weekend but highly likely due to short cover. 



トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は4/4。長期保有は1/4。Trade details are here. 4/4 limit holding at the point of weekend with 1/4 for long term holding position. 

AI予測は不変で続落。AI forecast is unchanged, downtrend. 

ウクライナ危機、新冷戦と資源インフレ、コロナインフレ退治の利上げ、中国不動産崩壊など問題はまだ山積み。一方、円安放置日本の国際企業収益は激増予想。Still tons of problems are piling up such as Ukraine crisis, new cold war and natural resource inflation, interest rate hike to kill Covid-19 oriented inflation as well as Chinese real estate market crash. Meanwhile, huge profits are expected for Japanese global corporate due to intentional depreciation of JPY. 

米銀株、USTU10とSPX  US Banks, UST10&SPX

米金利の今後 US FF rate forecast







[今回予測20220617]Forecast at this time 


変わらず No Change


[前回予測20220610]Previous Forecast 




3LB Month/Week/Day




Midterm Range