新型プリウスに乗ってみた I tried riding the new Prius.

 新型プリウスに乗ってみた

I tried riding the new Prius

長距離ドライブする機会があり、燃費を考えてプリウスを借りた。当初、２０１６年型が来るはずがレンタル店の都合で、新型が配車されてきた。プリウスはハイブリッドをリードしてきたが、殆どすべての車種にハイブリッドが水平展開されるようになった今、本尊はどちらの方向に進化していくのかが注目されていた。結果は、より完成された、未来的なスポーツタイプに向かっているようだ。I had the opportunity for a long-distance drive and, considering fuel efficiency, I rented a Prius. Initially, I was supposed to get a 2016 model, but due to the rental shop's circumstances, I was given the new model instead. While the Prius has been a pioneer in hybrids, with hybrids now being introduced across almost all vehicle models, there was curiosity about which direction the flagship model would evolve. The outcome seems to lean towards a more refined and futuristic sports-type design.

パワー：電池残量がある限り加速は断トツで、５人乗っても、高速のパーキングエリアから２－３秒程で、時速100kmまで行ってしまう。Power: As long as there's battery charge left, the acceleration is outstanding. Even with five people on board, it reaches a speed of 100 km/h in about 2-3 seconds from parking area in high way.

安定性：車高が低く、重心が低いためか転倒に対する安定性は十分だった。Stability: Due to the low vehicle height and low center of gravity, the stability against tipping was sufficient.

燃費：3200km走行した平均燃費は25km/Lだった。Fuel Efficiency: The average fuel efficiency after a 3200 km drive was 25km/L.

自動運転：車線維持支援、速度維持支援などを試したところ、驚くほど役に立った。山道の下りで速度指定をすると、自動的にエンジンブレーキが優先され非常に便利。Autonomous Driving: When I tested lane keeping assistance and speed maintenance assistance, they were surprisingly helpful. When setting a speed on a downhill mountain road, the engine brake was automatically prioritized, which was very convenient.

センサー：車の周りの対人、対物センサーは充実。非常に助かる。Sensors: The sensors for detecting pedestrians and objects around the car are well-equipped. They are extremely helpful.

カーナビ・ドラレコ：フリーテキスト検索での登録件数が貧弱。大都市、大通りの走行には問題なし。ドラレコは２日で循環するタイプで前後カメラで撮影されていた。Car Navigation & Dashcam: The registration count for free text searches was limited. No issues with driving in major cities or on main roads. The dashcam was of the 2-day loop recording type and captured footage with front and rear cameras.

後部座席：脚がつかえるなどの狭さはなく、十分余裕のスペース。Rear seats: There is no tightness such as limited legroom, and there is ample space available.

荷物室：先代よりボディーがスタイリッシュになっているので容量が小さくなっているかと心配したが、十分な大きさだった。Cargo Space: I was worried that the cargo capacity might have decreased due to the stylish design of the new generation compared to the previous one, but it was still spacious enough.

咄嗟の救命処置 Immediate life-saving measures

 咄嗟の救命処置

Immediate life-saving measures

父親が駅のホームで、顔が青くなり、白目になって、突然倒れこんだ中年の人を見た。My father witnessed a middle-aged man collapsing on the train station platform. The man's face turned pale, his eyes rolled back, and he suddenly fell.

以前同様のケースを見ていたため、心筋梗塞だと判断、心臓マッサージを行ったところ意識を取り戻したそうだ。Having seen similar cases before, my father deduced that it might be a heart attack. He performed cardiac massage, and as a result, the man regained consciousness.

最近AEDなどは所々に設置されてきてはいるが、捜しまわるのに時間を使うより、倒れた瞬間から速攻で心臓マッサージを行うことが有効だろう。Although AEDs (Automated External Defibrillators) have been installed in various places recently, it would likely be more effective to initiate cardiac massage immediately from the moment of collapse, rather than spending time searching for an AED.

AI 株価予測 20230825の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20230825 8306MUFG

  AI 株価予測 20230825の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20230825　8306MUFG

今週は、少し戻しが入った。金曜日夜のパウエルのスピーチでのサプライズはなし。NY市場は安心して若干戻した。This week we see a little bit of rebound. Friday's Powell speech had no surprise. NY market came back a little bit. 

基本スタンスはホールドで、５００円台に落ちてきたところで買い増し。Main strategy is hold while additional buy only when it goes down to 500 Yen level. 

米株は、リモートワーク定着による商業用不動産の暴落が、いまだ株式市場に織り込まれていないのが最大の懸念材料。The biggest worry of US stock is the crash of US commercial real estate due to remote work, that is not really considered in the market still.

根底には中国の不動産崩壊もある。中国マネーの縮小が、世界の商業用不動産の下落に拍車をかける。Underlying impact is coming also from crash of Chinese real estate market. The shrinkage of China money will accelerate the further crash of commercial real estate market globally.

米株の急落とともに世界株式が暴落するのも、ここ数カ月以内に起こるだろう。９月末の配当を待たずして起こる可能性もある。The world wide stock market crash stemming from US market crash will happen in few months. It can happen before the dividend day in Sep end. 

投資主体別統計は遂に外国人売り7000億円が。今後の動向に注目。Investor statistics shows foreign investor's sell for JPY70bn. Need to have close look for the next report. 

PSAVEは若干持ち直し基調。ドル円は介入開始か。PSAVE is on recovery trend while USDJPY got intervention.

QTは一旦停止のようだが、マネーストックは下落基調。QT looks in halt while money stock is on down trend. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は3/3。長期枠利用は3/3。Trade details are here.

3/3 limit holding at the point of weekend. Long term holding utilization is 3/3.

新値は日足・月足は変わらず。週足は上昇。AI予測は日足、週足は下落、月足は上昇。3LB advanced for day and monthly charts. But it dropped for weekly. AI forecast indicated drop for weekly and daily but upward for monthly.

三菱商事はバフェットが投資を継続するかが全て。Mitsubishi trading all depends on the Buffet's investment stance.

長谷工は新値的には買いのタイミング。Haseko is buy timing from 3LB perspective. 

最大支援国米国の大統領選挙を来年に控え、米国民はウクライナ支援の真の意味を何度も考えているようだ。ウクライナが敗北すると、世界はなし崩し的に戦国時代へと突入するからだ。US citizens, who have been providing largest support to Ukraine, now look pondering the real reason of supporting Ukraine. It is because if Ukraine defeats, the whole world will jump into war era. 

米銀株、USTU10とSPX, NKY  US Banks, UST10＆SPX, NKY

NKYもSPXも暴落目前ムード満載のチャート。だが、現状ではまだ、米商業用不動産破綻、中国経済破綻から来る経済不安をベースとした大暴落には少し早すぎるだろう。それは、まだ米国ドルのイールドカーブの１０Ｙ－２Ｙが未だマイナスだからだ。暴落はこれがプラ転してから始まるのが常だ。NKY as well as SPX chart is telling that crash is imminent. However it will be a little bit early to be a real crash that originates from US commercial real estate crash as well as China economic crash. It is because US 10Y-2Y yield is still negative. Real crash normally comes after 10Y-2Y comes back to positive number.

米金利の今後　US FF rate forecast

パウエルは年内のさらなる利上げを示唆したが、不動産市場の暴落に起因する米経済のクラッシュが秋口にも懸念されており、年内の利上げは起こらない可能性が高い。Powell implied another rate hike this year however, imminent real estate bubble crash may trigger whole US market this fall, making interest rate hike very difficult.

UST10はインフレ亢進鎮静化で利下げ目線。JGB10はYCC解除で利上げ目線。UST10 is on uptrend due to calming down inflation, while JGB10 yield is uptrend due to abolishment of YCC. 

3LB Month/Week/Day

[今回予測20230825］Forecast at this time 

No Change

[前回予測20230818］Previous Forecast 

Midterm Range

一応レンジに収まっている。買い出動は最低でもレンジ下限、８００近辺にならないと考えられない。Still within the range. Reaching lower range of 800 level is the minimal condition to make another purchase. 

AI 株価予測 20230818の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20230818 8306MUFG

 AI 株価予測 20230818の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20230818　8306MUFG

あっと言う間に暴落という事にはならなかった。レンジ内の動きが続く。Did not crash at once. Still moving withing the upward range trading zone.

金曜日１８日発表のインフレ率が予測やコンセンサスを越えた３．３％と鎮静化していないことから、利上げ圧力が高まる可能はある。The Japan inflation rate announced last Friday, 18th was 3.3%, that is the same as previous month, and was higher than both forecast and consensus. This may lead to the interest rate hike pressure going forward.

基本スタンスはホールドで、５００円台に落ちてきたところで買い増し。Main strategy is hold while additional buy only when it goes down to 500 Yen level. 

米株は、リモートワーク定着による商業用不動産の暴落が、いまだ株式市場に織り込まれていないのが最大の懸念材料。The biggest worry of US stock is the crash of US commercial real estate due to remote work, that is not really considered in the market still.

根底には中国の不動産崩壊もある。中国マネーの縮小が、世界の商業用不動産の下落に拍車をかける。Underlying impact is coming also from crash of Chinese real estate market. The shrinkage of China money will accelerate the further crash of commercial real estate market globally.

米株の急落とともに世界株式が暴落するのも、ここ数カ月以内に起こるだろう。９月末の配当を待たずして起こる可能性もある。The world wide stock market crash stemming from US market crash will happen in few months. It can happen before the dividend day in Sep end. 

投資主体別統計は面白い。個人・年金は売り、海外が買い、証券自己が買いだ。Investor statistics is interesting. Individuals and pensions are selling, while offshore and securities prop trading desk is buying. 

PSAVEは若干持ち直し基調。ドル円は介入開始か。PSAVE is on recovery trend while USDJPY got intervention.

QTは一旦停止のようだが、マネーストックは下落基調。QT looks in halt while money stock is on down trend. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は3/3。長期枠利用は3/3。Trade details are here.

3/3 limit holding at the point of weekend. Long term holding utilization is 3/3.

新値は日足・月足は変わらず。週足は上昇。AI予測は日足、週足は下落、月足は上昇。3LB advanced for day and monthly charts. But it dropped for weekly. AI forecast indicated drop for weekly and daily but upward for monthly.

三菱商事はバフェットが投資を継続するかが全て。Mitsubishi trading all depends on the Buffet's investment stance.

長谷工は新値的には買いのタイミング。Haseko is buy timing from 3LB perspective. 

ウクライナの反転攻勢はロシアの抵抗が強いため非常に遅い。西側の支援が永遠に続くとすると、何時かはロシアは敗退するだろう。来年の米大統領選でトランプが返り咲くとロシアに有利になることが懸念される。Ukraine's counter offensive is very slow due to heavy resistance of Russian occupation army. As long as west array's support continues, Russia will lose sometime in future. Now worry is that the resumption of Trump administration at US presidential election next year may drive Russia in good position.

米銀株、USTU10とSPX, NKY  US Banks, UST10＆SPX, NKY

NKYもSPXも暴落目前ムード満載のチャート。だが、現状ではまだ、米商業用不動産破綻、中国経済破綻から来る経済不安をベースとした大暴落には少し早すぎるだろう。それは、まだ米国ドルのイールドカーブの１０Ｙ－２Ｙが未だマイナスだからだ。暴落はこれがプラ転してから始まるのが常だ。NKY as well as SPX chart is telling that crash is imminent. However it will be a little bit early to be a real crash that originates from US commercial real estate crash as well as China economic crash. It is because US 10Y-2Y yield is still negative. Real crash normally comes after 10Y-2Y comes back to positive number.

米金利の今後　US FF rate forecast

パウエルは年内のさらなる利上げを示唆したが、不動産市場の暴落に起因する米経済のクラッシュが秋口にも懸念されており、年内の利上げは起こらない可能性が高い。Powell implied another rate hike this year however, imminent real estate bubble crash may trigger whole US market this fall, making interest rate hike very difficult.

UST10はインフレ亢進鎮静化で利下げ目線。JGB10はYCC解除で利上げ目線。UST10 is on uptrend due to calming down inflation, while JGB10 yield is uptrend due to abolishment of YCC. 

3LB Month/Week/Day

[今回予測20230818］Forecast at this time 

No Change

[前回予測20230810］Previous Forecast 

Midterm Range

一応レンジに収まっている。買い出動は最低でもレンジ下限、８００近辺にならないと考えられない。Still within the range. Reaching lower range of 800 level is the minimal condition to make another purchase.