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2023年7月7日金曜日

AI 株価予測 20230707の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20230707 8306MUFG

   AI 株価予測 20230707の状況8306MUFG

Stock Price AI Forecast - 20230707 8306MUFG




今週はついに下落した。円が150円に迫るなか、植田が月末に利上げするかが焦点になろう。Sock started to fall finally. As USDJPY is coming closer to 150, now focus is whether Ueda raise rates on Month end or not. 


海外投資家の買いは復活したようだ。Looks foreign investor resumed investing.



PSAVEは若干持ち直し基調。ドル円は介入開始か。PSAVE is on recovery trend while USDJPY got intervention.



QTは一旦停止のようだが、マネーストックは下落基調。QT looks in halt while money stock is on down trend. 



MUFGは終値で1000円を維持した。MUFG kept 1000 level for COD on Friday. 

トレード詳細はこちら。トレード枠利用は3/3。長期枠利用は3/3。Trade details are here.
3/3 limit holding at the point of weekend. Long term holding utilization is 3/3.

新値は日足が続伸、週足・月足は変わらず。AI予測も日足、週足、月足とも上昇。3LB advanced for day chart but no change on weekly and monthly.  AI forecast indicated drop for daily.

三菱商事は一旦天井か。Mitsubishi might have reached its temporal peak.



長谷工も上昇。Haseko went up as well. 


ウクライナの反転攻勢は遅々として進まない。Ukraine counter offensive has been going very slow.

米銀株、USTU10とSPX  US Banks, UST10&SPX


NYのIVが減少する一方、株価指標は下がっている。これは、株価の上昇を暗示しているのかもしれない。Note that NYIV has gone down while stock indexes has gone down, may implying the upward expectation of market.

米金利の今後 US FF rate forecast

パウエルは年内のさらなる利上げを示唆したが、不動産市場の暴落に起因する米経済のクラッシュが秋口にも懸念されており、年内の利上げは起こらない可能性が高い。Powell implied another rate hike this year however, imminent real estate bubble crash may trigger whole US market this fall, making interest rate hike very difficult.





UST10とJGB10は上目線。UST10 and JGB10 yields are on upward trend.



米国逆イールドは極まりつつあり、歴史的には景気後退が近いことを示す。US 10y-2y spread has been negative implying historical economic slow down following the period. 



3LB Month/Week/Day


[今回予測20230707]Forecast at this time 



[前回予測20230630]Previous Forecast 



Midterm Range

一応レンジに収まっている。Still within the range.