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2020年5月28日木曜日

コロナ後の世界 After-Covid19 World

コロナ後の世界 After-Covid19 World


コロナ第一波は終了し、日本の緊急事態宣言が解除された。1st wave of Covid-19 was over and government took back national state of emergency.

2/3のダイアモンド・プリンセス号や、欧米での感染爆発を横目にオリンピックへの期待に浮かれていた日本も、感染爆発前夜に非常事態宣言を発令、結果、感染爆発は抑えられた。Looking aside Feb 3rd Diamond Princes incident as well as infection explosion of Europe and US, Japan has been in euphoria  for coming Olympic however, Japan woke up at the last minute before the infection explosion and declared national state of emergency, then infection explosion was avoided. 

日本はコロナを最後まで大事としない対応を取ったのに、日本での被害が少なかったのは運が良かった面も多いと考えられている。弱毒のコロナの前流行による免疫効果、BCG効果など諸説ある。人との接触を制限する手法は経済の停滞を招いたが、世界は今、経済再始動へ向けて動き出している。Japan did not take Covid-19 as serious matter until the end but damage was minimal mostly due to lucks from couple of aspects. People are talking about immune effect by pre-Covid-19 infection spread in Japan unknowingly, or other theory such as BCG effect etc. The epidemiological approach to take distance each other introduced stagnation of economy however now world is going to restart the economy. 

コロナによる都市封鎖体験は人々の物に対する考え方を変えた。The rock-down experience changed the way of thinking for many people. 

人出を8割減らすため実施したリモート勤務により、オフィスワーカーの仕事は、ほぼ自宅から行えることが確認され、実オフィスの縮小を考える事業体が拡大した。80% reduction of office physical workforce was proved to be functional in many companies, meaning that most of office worker's job can be done remote from home.  This drove many enterprise to consider the shrinkage of real office space.

オフィスは限りなくバーチャルなものになっていくだろう。その結果、次のような流れが加速するのではないだろうか。Physical office will be converted to virtual office forever. As a result, below trends can be accelerated.

  • 従業員のバーチャル化:居住地、身体能力、年齢、性別、人種、国籍の制約消滅 Virtual office workers: constraints from residency, physical capacity, age, gender, race and nationality will go extinct. 
  • 通勤不要:交通機関の混雑緩和 No commuting: Less traffic jam or congestion from commuting. 
  • 不動産:都市物件の値下がりと、郊外物件の値上がりReal Estate Price: Lower price for metropolitan area and higher price in rural area. 
満員電車や渋滞で疲れ果て、都心のオフィスに通う生活は過去の物になる。Tiring commuting to metropolitan area, packed in train or traffic jam, will be a history.