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2020年3月6日金曜日

AI 株価予測 20200306 の状況8306MUFG Stock Price AI Forecast - 20200306 Status 8306MUFG

AI 株価予測 20200306 の状況8306MUFG

 Stock Price AI Forecast - 20200306 Status 8306MUFG


[前回予測20200228]Previous forecast


注)この投稿はあくまで個人メモです。記事に基づく実際の投資は一切行わないでください。
Caution) This is only for my memo.  Never make any actual investment based on this post.

直近の8306MUFGのAI株価予測(日・週・月)を上に示した。日足、週足、月足すべてが下落の継続を示唆している。先週のAI予測はすべて下落を示唆していたが、現実はその通りになった。AIによる月足の下落拡大予測はその現実味を増してきた。Recent AI stock prediction result(D/W/M) is shown above. All forecasted downward trend. Last week's prediction indicated drop for all and reality became just like that. AI's indication for drop for this month end started to look real now.

学校は休校、トイレットペーパーが買占めされ、Covid-19は米国に本格上陸を開始した。SuperTuesdayでバイデンがサンダースに逆転したことで、DJIAは1000以上のリカバリを見せたものの、翌日からは下落は復活。撤退したウオーレンの支持者の動向により、サンダースが復活する可能性も残した。FED緩和で円高はさらに進み104円までドルは下落。一方、日経平均は窓を開けながら10,700台まで下落した。Schools are closed, toilet paper has gone from shops and Covid-19 started to invade US. SuperTuesday kicked DJIA up for 1000 due to Biden prevailed over Sunders however it resumed drop from next day. Sanders may come back contingent to Warren's supporter after her departure from the race. FED ease drove JPY further appreciated up to 104 level while Nikkei has gone down to 10,700 with couple of windows open.

現在配当利回りは5.1%、PER7、PBR0.38だ。前回書いた通り、2002年SARS時は3か月で半値になっており、今回Covid-19の起点を600とすると、ターゲットは300近辺となるが、その場合、配当利回り8.3%となるものの、倒産拡大まで被害が広がるリスクはある。Current dividend yield is 5.1%, PER7 and PBR0.38. As wrote before, stock price has gone down half taking 3 month at the time of SARS on 2002. Reflecting this to Covid-19, this time, starting from 600, target will be around 300 and dividend yield will be 8.3% however, things can go worse up to increase of default expansion.

SARS等と比べ死亡率は低いものの、今回のCovid-19は世界的な広がりを見せ、予断は許さない状況だ。来週は、米国での感染拡大、BOJの緩和の具体化と為替、ウオーレンの決断がポイントだ。Although mortality rate  is lower than SARS, this time Covid-19 shows world-wide expansion, and still carrying big risks. Next week, further expansion of infection in US, BOJ's easing corresponding to FED with impact on FX, and Warren's decision will be the focal points.

[ MUFG 20200306 ]

[DJIA 20200305]

[DJIA 20200305]